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It turned out that there were multiple exits from the tunnel. The ten minutes it took to find her were the longest ten minutes of my life. I got lost some years ago — in my car. Thinking I was so smart, I took a road that seemed to go in the direction I wanted to go and when that road ran out, I took another road, then another then another. It is very, very dark in the Florida Everglades and all I could think of was the alligators and snakes that come out at night and lay on the warm roads.
Eventually, after about 45 minutes of roaming around getting more panicked by the minute, I found my way to a road that took me where I wanted to go.
I was in a car so I can only imagine how terrifying it must be to be lost on foot. As usual, Karen, fascinating post! It would be really interesting to know how many people get lost, although I imagine the numbers vary depending on definitions of lost versus missing. Good to know to stay in place if I ever get lost in the wilderness. Your comment made me smile, Janis. I can just picture your rescue at Knox Berry Farm. That was a really interesting post to read, Karen. I had no idea there were so many categories or factors that went into how and where a lost person would go.
It is a great idea to have something like this as a guide so that rescue personnel can find the lost person faster. I had heard that if you were lost you were supposed to stay where you are. It is much easier to find someone if everywhere you have looked can be crossed off without wondering if the lost person just reached somewhere you had checked just an hour ago. That must have been scary enough for you, as a ten-year-old, to be lost in a conservation area at night if you remember it to this day.
Regardless of the fact that you were lost with your teacher and half a dozen other students you did pick up on the teacher becoming increasingly concerned. I have been lost before… at the drive in, of all places, I got very disoriented in the dark and could not find our car when I got out to go to the snack bar to get popcorn. I got panicky and angry at myself. When I calmed down a little I looked at the screen and by walking across the lot I located our car based on how the screen looked what angle the screen was at like from inside the car.
I got very methodical and figured out how to locate the car in the end but that panicky feeling never left me then and every time we went to the drive-in after that. I can totally understand the panicky feeling of being lost at a drive-in.
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That has happened to me too, and I solved the problem in exactly the same way that you did. Thank goodness for logic that works in the dark! LOL ; , I am so happy to know I am not the only one who came out carrying snacks and found myself all turned around and lost. I felt like such a fool at the time. Perhaps the search and rescue teams need to make it another category! It makes complete sense now that I read it. Fingers crossed that I will never need to use the information gleaned! I hear you, Donna. She was right beside me, holding the handle of the stroller while I looked at clothes on a big circular rack.
Without stepping away from the stroller, I called her name and looked frantically in every direction. Then I heard a little giggle. She had crawled inside the circular rack below the clothes and was hiding on me. The second time was about a year later.
- Tribe and Empire: An Essay on the Social Contract.
- Masterful Leadership: Wisdom They Dont Teach in Business School.
- Analysis of Lost Person Behavior: An Aid to Search Planning;
- Analysis of Lost Person Behavior: An Aid to Search Planning by William G. Syrotuck.
- The Zen Gardens at Bullshitji.
POD s,n is the probability of detection for search n in segment s. This value is not a cumulative value and indicates the POD for search n only.
13 Fascinating Facts about Lost Person Behaviour
So from this equation you can see an example of the extensive maths and calculations being used by some Search Planners and Computer Programmes to help predict the whereabouts of the missing and lost. The paper also goes on to state that the final equation for calculating the cumulative segment Probability of Detection: Cumulative Segment POD PODcums - After the same segment is searched multiple times, the chances of having detected the search object, if it was present in the segment the whole time, are increased as compared to having searched the segment only once.
This increasing probability of detecting a search object after multiple searches in the same segment is called cumulative segment POD. The latest copy of this book is available here!
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Analysis Of Lost Person Behavior - Guide to understanding a lost persons behavior
SAR Team members can use this to predict behaviour and increase their likelihood of finding the missing person. First they need to need to be able to place them into one of the different subject categories and then understand certain behaviour traits the Missing Persons have. Then they can use that knowledge to predict actions and allocate resources that reflect those predictions. A lot of these studies have come out of North America but there are also many UK sources.
There are numerous excellent research, books, studies, texts, websites and courses out there on the subject and many notable authorities. I enjoyed speaking with him as we seemed to share the many of the same philosophies on some SAR things. He states that whilst additional subject categories exist, these are the ones with sufficient data to currently report. I would also like to give credit to William Bill Syrotuck who probably did the earliest key work. But Mr Koester has really built upon his work in a really big way with his detailed analysis of so many statistics from around the world.
Naturally not all subject categories listed in North America are common to the United Kingdom — for example snowboarders, alpine skiers and hunters are not so common. But human nature being what it is and the fact that SAR teams can use this material out there to help them, means that it is very worth looking at. I am also aware of other studies and statistics such as the ones by Pete Roberts and Dave Perkins in Northumbria. A summary of some pertinent headings follows.